mlb standings predictions 2022

The Cherries are 19th in the standings with 21 points but trail Leeds United by one for 17th place. Team: Wins: Losses: Chicago White Sox: 85: 77: CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. Commissioner.com is a registered trademark of CBS Interactive Inc. site: media | arena: mlb | pageType: stories | October 6th, 2022. It's a good, though not great, mix of position players. Just looking around the NL West, there are two bad teams. Trevor Rogers nearly won Rookie of the Year, and Sandy Alcantara and Pablo Lopez each had ERAs south of 3.20. Now, did that stop us from asking a number of MLB . Compared to the Brewers and Cardinals, the Cubs dont stack up and thats even after signing outfielder Seiya Suzuki. USA TODAY. We just saw that I like the Blue Jays for around 95 wins. 8,128 plate appearances. The introduction of the DH to the NL should help Dominic Smith and Robinson Cano produce at a higher rate as well. The 2022 Major League Baseball season is almost here and Sportsnaut's MLB predictions offer projections for the standings, award winners and more.. MLB games today will offer daily predictions and the full schedule for the entire season from 2022 Opening Day to the World Series. Follow the American League and National League races here from USA TODAY. AL Central predictions. Let's dig in on the "best team" part, though. ZiPS projects the White Sox for 74 wins, closer to the Tigers (71) and Royals (70) than the Guardians (83) and Twins (80). But just who will it be that claims the Commissioner's Trophy at the end of the year? LAA Los Angeles Angels. Seattle strengthened its young core of Jarred Kelenic and Julio Rodriguez by trading for Jesse Winker and Eugenio Suarez from Cincinnati and signing reigning Cy Young winner Robbie Ray. This should be very difficult, as every team -- at least in theory -- should have a total right around where it is expected to finish. The Guardians did virtually nothing this winter, yet it wouldn't be shocking to see them finish second or third. MLB. The Yankees, Red Sox and Rays are all strong playoff contenders, for me. Below, we look at those 2022 World Series odds; be sure to check back for our MLB picks and predictions as the season ramps up. The offense added Starling Marte and Mark Canha to a lineup that was already strong with Francisco Lindor, Jeff McNeil and Pete Alonso in the infield and Brandon Nimmo in the outfield. I just feel like they'll need a miracle this season. Torontos moves this offseason inspire confidence Canada might host a World Series game. The reigning World Series winners emerge as the favorites to win their division, with New York and Philadelphia appearing as strong contenders for wild cards. The increase in the number of teams losing on purpose has left a lot more wins for the good teams to grab. The model's outlook of the AL Central is perhaps what differs from conventional wisdom the most in its projections. And the Cardinals were basically a .500 team last season, save for a 17-game winning streak in September. The model isn't too favorable on them jumping right back into contention in 2022. Follow the American League and National League races here from USA TODAY. Are the Brewers better than the Cardinals, or way behind? mlb preview 2022. Download data. Ultimately, this is a total rebuild and the organization isnt thinking about the final MLB standings in 2022. Find the best projected stats of the 2023 MLB season and build the best Fantasy Baseball team. "Ok . Opening Day is set for Thursday (for 14 teams, at least), and thankfully for baseball fans, we'll still have a full, 162-game season in 2022. These are the teams with the top odds: 1. The results, Marcus Stroman being replaced by Max Scherzer and holes in the lineup being filled by Starling Marte, Mark Canha and Eduardo Escobar. In this space below, we'll grab some totals picks. The Cardinals often get far too much from their starters than they should. You famously cannot predict baseball. Arizona is avoiding a total rebuild and the Ketel Marte extensions signals he wont be moved. 1:51. Wed also feel comfortable projecting a Willson Contreras trade in our MLB predictions, coming in July. The White Sox, who play in one of the weaker divisions, are the favorite to come away with the No. The one thing missing is another quality outfielder to fill out the lineup. section: | slug: mlb-win-totals-each-teams-2022-projection-plus-best-bets-on-over-unders-for-dodgers-cardinals-more | sport: baseball | route: article_single.us | Replacing set-up man Craig Kimbrel with outfielder A.J. Andrew Benintendi showed some bounceback potential in 2021, and Adalberto Mondesi still looks explosive when healthy. Something is going to give there -- in terms of sending one team down to the mid-80s in wins, this time around -- and the Red Sox total is 85.5. First off, the Dodgers are the best team. The NL Central hasnt had a repeat champion since the Cubs in 2016-17, and PECOTA expects that trend to continue in 2023, giving the Brewers a two-game edge over the Cardinals. The Rangerswere the talk of the offseason before the lockout when they made two major splashy signings in bringing in Corey Seager and Marcus Semien to produce maybe the best middle-infield combination in baseball. (As a reminder, Emmanuel Clase did it in 2022 . Let's take a look at each game with odds from DraftKings . After reaching the playoffs in 2020 and winning the AL Central with a 93-69 record the following year, the White Sox seemed poised to establish themselves as the divisions alpha dog in 2022. If the rookies can play up to their projections and immediately become impact talents, this could be an underrated team in 2022. Milwaukee has made the playoffs four years in a row, a streak that should continue as the Cardinals didn't do much to close the gap. Everyone is just waiting forthe Angelsto finally live up to their potential. Calling up Gabriel Arias could help with that. I don't know why, though. After the NL East race came down to the wire in 2022, with the Braves edging the Mets via tiebreaker after both won 101 games, the two teams had drastically different offseasons. They'll have thump. It does not expect full seasons out of both Trout and Ohtani, who have not in their four years together each had seasons where they both appeared in at least 120 games. Projected Standings, Roster Management, Draft Results, Keeper Management; Coming early January 2023! This year is going to be a bit of a mixed bag forthe Nationals. The top of the MLB power rankings remains steady and it's likely to stay that way. It bucks conventional wisdom, sure, but there are a few factors I can't ignore. No one saw the San Francisco Giants being that good last season, they surpassed their wildest expectations. Each game is then simulated 20,000 times with park factors included in each matchup. KC Kansas City Royals. Signing Seiya Suzuki, one of Japan's biggest sluggers over the past six seasons, is a big addition as he'll likely slot right into the middle of the lineup. The breakout season by the Giants mixed up the run of Dodgers' dominance, but the model expects Los Angeles to reclaim its crown in 2022. 2023 Projected Standings. With considerable improvement expected from Ronald Acua Jr. and Ozzie Albies, ZiPS thinks Atlanta is in good shape, projecting the club for another tie with the Mets at 94 wins apiece. Statistical data provided by Gracenote. So without further ado, we present to you seven bold predictions for the 2022 MLB season. The model is also high on the pitching of the Giants, giving San Francisco a major edge going into the postseason even as a wild-card team. Justin Verlander is back and were expecting healthy seasons out of Kyle Tucker, Yordan Alvarez and Alex Bregman. Maybe it's a case where I just didn't learn my lesson. and that rotation is littered with question marks after Joe Musgrove. From there, the model simulates the postseason based on the outcomes of the regular season to decide who will win the World Series. The Line: Man City -240 / Newcastle United +550 // Total: 2.5. For now, well be focused on development for the young pitchers and the eventual debuts of Spencer Torkelson and Riley Greene. See how your team stacks up against the rest of Major League Baseball with league, division, and playoff standings. I like the Dodgers to keep MLB's 100 . ET (ESPN). Picks, tools and data that give you an edge in NFL survivor and knockout style pools. 2022 MLB preseason predictions: World Series, MVP and Cy Young bets we're counting on this year. MORE:Trading for Matt Chapman a better fit for rising Blue Jays than signing Freddie Freeman. Cleveland might be trending the wrong direction compared to most teams, but finishing last still feels like a bit of a stretch. However, there are reasons for why it turned out as it did. 2. PECOTA, however, sees a sizable gap of roughly five games between them, with the Mets on top. The key tothe Giants'success in 2021 was a standout rotation. 6-keys: media/spln/mlb/reg/free/stories, at There has been a lot going on in the AL West since the 2021 season came to an end, and the model expects the standings to turn out about as one might expect. Those player stats are then merged in with their current teams to evaluate how good each team's lineups, rotation and bullpens will be in the 2022 season. . From the starting rotation to the lineup, Los Angeles holds the advantages and its farm system is better. It's hard to see that changing in 2022 with a new crop of players in the AL Central. Losing Robbie Ray and Steven Matz will hurt the rotation, but the addition of Kevin Gausman and Yusei Kikuchi, along with a full season of Jose Berrios and Alek Manoah will help bolster the pitching staff. But there they are with an 88-74 projection from ZiPS, just three games behind the mighty Dodgers and Padres. The pitching staff is worrisome. Close. It has been a discouraging offseason forAthletics'fans, who watched their two core Matts traded off to the Blue Jays (Chapman) and Braves (Olson), and standout arms Sean Manaea and Chris Bassitt traded to the Padres and Mets, respectively. But what the model really likes is the rotation. Our 2022 MLB predictions panel. Only enabled for screen sizes > 1024px. The defense is terrible. The rotation could be in tatters behind Zack Wheeler. Its not a huge surprise that ZiPS projects the Padres and Dodgers for the same record. Trained by Michael McCarthy, Lugan Knight has two wins, one second and . Related: Get Paramount Plus today and watch live sports for an unbeatable price! Even after trading Gray, the rotation looks decent with Luis Castillo and Tyler Mahle leading a young rotation that will feature flame-thrower Hunter Greene and control specialist Nick Lodolo. Nick Madrigal and Nico Hoerner are a promising young middle-infield combo, who should be big parts of the team's future. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver. The top of the rotation remains dominant with Zack Wheeler and Aaron Nola, and the biggest weakness the bullpen was improved with the signings of Brad Hand, Jeurys Familia and Corey Knebel. The reason the model likes the Cardinals over Milwaukee comes from the lack of trust in the Brewers' lineup, but if Willy Adames can repeat and Christian Yelich can bounce back somewhere closer to his 2019 levels, it could have just enough to support Milwaukee's tremendous pitching staff. TEX Texas Rangers. All rights reserved. All Rights Reserved. O/U wins: 91.5. The only six teams with greater than a 5 percent chance of reaching the World Series are the four leaders in the AL East and the White Sox and Astros. Below are the picks and predictions made by The Sporting News' model for how the 2022 MLB season is going to unfold. Get the most up to date picture of the 2022 MLB season standings. New York Mets. MLB Playoff Predictor (MLB Season Picker) lets you pick every game of the MLB Season via a season Schedule . College Basketball Week 17 Top 25 Predictions Note: Projected winners are listed in bold. To join our email list and get notified when we launch the 2023 MLB section. Tampa Bay Rays Both of these teams will be in the playoffs, everyones preference between the two is understandable. Like the Tigers,the Royals are loaded with MLB-ready talent from Bobby Witt Jr., MJ Melendez and Nick Pratto all expected to reach the big leagues at some point during the season to add to an offense that already includes Salvador Perez, Nicky Lopez and Whit Merrifield. I do think this team is better and on the right track, but I don't think they'll have the kind of "luck" they did last season, say, in one-run games. The Piratesremain fully in rebuild mode, but the young talent in the system is starting to reach the big leagues. The Blue Jays will, once again, be one of the best fourth-place finishers since MLB went to the six-division format in 1994. Many thought they'd be that bad last year and they won 74 games. I took the Rays' under (it was 86) last year and got badly burned. MLB.com. The loss of Gray takes away one arm that found success pitching in Colorado, but German Marquez and Antonio Senzatela continued to prove last season that they've figured it out. Corbin Burnes won the Cy Young with a sterling 2.43 ERA, and he was joined in the sub-3.00 ERA club by Brandon Woodruff (2.56) and Freddy Peralta (2.81). The influx of multiple 100-win teams per season these last handful of years isn't a coincidence, in my view. Pair that with a strong bullpen and a productive lineup. Although Jos Abreu left as a free agent to sign with the Astros in the offseason, the core of the roster that won the division title two years ago is still largely intact, making Chicago an obvious rebound candidate in 2023. They've got that again in 2022. I think Randal Grichuk will post huge power numbers there, too. Chicago still finishes atop the AL Central in our MLB predictions, but the separation is decreasing. Case in point, Jon Lester had a 4.36 ERA compared to a 5.40 FIP in 12 starts last season after they acquired him and he's now retired. The model does not expect the Brewers will emerge back on top in 2022. ZiPS has it as a much closer race, projecting the Yankees for 89 wins and the Blue Jays for 88. There was a point in the 2021 season when it felt the Mets were going to run away with the division. They also made big splashes by signing Rodon, Alex Cobb and Matthew Boyd, who will only make this rotation stronger. The East looks like a potential power in the National League, as well as the American League. The . Bringing in Avisail Garcia and Jorge Soler adds some thump to the outfield in an outfield that has been inconsistent in recent years. Updated: Saturday, March 4, 2023 4:51 PM ET, Park Factors Mega Picker; . 2023 Season; 2022 Season; 2021 Season; 2020 Season; 2019 Season; 2018 Season; CFB FBS. The bullpen is, well, the Phillies bullpen. It makes them the team to beat in the NL Central, especially if Christian Yelich rebounds and Kolten Wong stays healthy. As much as I love Shane McClanahan, he won't be carrying an ace workload. 3 (Freddy Peralta) and a potential Rookie of the year candidate (Aaron Ashby). Here's who they think will rule the ninth inning in 2023. And I'd win the under. 4. Everyone wants to know who will win the World Series, and according to the model, the answer is Dodgers are the most likely champion. The model expects some regression, but the pitching will keep this as one of the best teams in baseball. Cody Bellinger returns to All-Star form. This offseason, they're doing their part to make sure they don't miss the wild card this time. Theres no question the Padres have the talent to win the NL West, even a World Series title is possible. If the 2021 Mariners were a 76-win true talent team and their true talent this season is, say, eight games better, they'd go 84-78, right? 1. 2022 Year to Date: 2023 Projected Rest of Season: 2023 Projected Full Season: Team G W L W% RDif RS/G RA/G G W L W% RDif RS/G There are question marks all over the place, as I explained in the preview. Someone is going to have to take the crown away fromthe Astrosbefore anyone, even the model, would consider picking against them. 2018 ABC News Internet Ventures. The rotation lost Robbie Ray but added Kevin Gausman and Yusei Kikuchi. PECOTA has the Halos four games ahead of the Mariners and gives them a 54.9% chance of reaching the postseason, the seventh-highest odds in the AL. They'll hover around .500 without the season-altering winning streak this time around. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook's lines around the Duke vs. UNC odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.. After these rivals, located just 7 miles apart, met in the . Justin Verlander's return is hugefor the Astros, coming off their third World Series appearance in five years. ZiPS projects both the Mariners and Angels for 85 wins, putting the two clubs in a tie for the third AL Wild Card spot behind the Blue Jays and Rays. Major League Baseball's arduous 2021-22 offseason featured a 99-day lockout that ultimately resulted in an abbreviated spring training and a delayed Opening . The Sporting News is unveiling a model to project the 2022 MLB season and make predictions based on the results. Thats everything the Milwaukee Brewers already bring to the table. That'll change this year, despite his being projected to hit ten to fifteen fewer homers than that. Milwaukee had a relatively quiet offseason after finishing seven games behind St. Louis last season, but PECOTA projects the teams vaunted pitching staff to allow 41 fewer runs than that of St. Louis. Until those issues are addressed, even a .500 record feels unlikely. Sign up to receive our daily Morning Lineup to stay in the know about the latest trending topics around Major League Baseball. Related: 2022 Boston Red Sox schedule, roster and predictions, Related: MLB trade rumors Latest MLB rumors entering July. 1. Victor Robles still flashes big potential, but has yet to make everything click. It was a surprise to see theCubs spendsemi-big onSeiya Suzuki and Marcus Stroman and Chicago enters the new season with most of the roster turned over Cincinnati stayed in the hunt into September last season, but now they'vetraded Sonny Gray, Jesse Winker andEugenio Suarez. As for Colorado, signing Kris Bryant feels like a move for ticket sales as this is still one of the worst teams in MLB. The Angels are playoff contenders and the Rangers aren't. Max Scherzer and Justin . Everyone wants to see his light-tower power in the thin air of Coors Field, just as CJ Cron in his first year in Colorado. Picking the White Sox to run away with the division is certainly correct, but the rest of the standings feel a bit jumbled given recent history. The Orioleshope to see top prospect Adley Rutschman soon (but not too soon) and are going to lose 100 games again but have players worth watching inCedric Mullins andRyan Mountcastle. Now that ZiPS and PECOTA have both released their projected standings for 2023 (ZiPS can be found here and here, and PECOTA here), here's a breakdown of some interesting points on which they agree, and where they differ. Sticky standings Sticky standings. Maybe this time I'm right and things have caught up with them. All Rights Reserved. Play-by-play data prior to 2002 was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted The Cleveland Cavaliers (39-26, 26-7 home) return to Ohio on Saturday for an Eastern Conference affair with the lowly Detroit Pistons (15-48, 7-25 away) who are in the gutter of the conference standings. And yet, they won 90 games last season and I'm going under 84.5 this year. EX. Sure enough, thats exactly what they did. But more than anything, the model is high on the pitching, with Gerrit Cole, Jameson Taillon, Jordan Montgomery and a healthy Luis Severino leading the team in 2022. Here are predictions for the 2022 MLB season, including complete standings, playoff teams and the World Series winner. Instead, their big additions were Mitch Haniger, Michael Conforto, Sean Manaea, Ross Stripling and Taylor Rogers. Sidelined until June, in a best-case scenario, that wipes out multiple wins in our MLB predictions. There is potential in this team to over-perform its projections. In fact, they lost their top free agent, shortstop Dansby Swanson, to the Cubs. Fans of the Yankeesare disappointed that New York wasn't able to land any major name in free agency, but that doesn't stop the model from being bullish on the Bronx Bombers' chances to make the playoffs. PECOTA projects both the Twins and Guardians for 88 wins, with the White Sox at 78. . Landing Carlos Correa is a monumental upgrade at shortstop, improving this teams fielding and run production. This article lays out all of our preseason MLB team ratings and projections for 2022, including our MLB projected standings, MLB postseason seed projections and various projection details such as final win-loss records, playoff chances, and World Series win odds. But as you might expect, they don't agree on everything. 15 seasons. (Get latest betting odds) Manchester City and Newcastle United face . The Guardiansfeel like the biggest surprise in the division. However, pitching is a major concern. The Seattle Mariners will win the AL West, just not this year. We also like Clevelands pitching. MLB Baseball Standings Projections on TeamRankings.com. As for the Washington Nationals, the greatest hitter in MLB (Juan Soto) cant fix their rotation, bullpen nor take multiple spots in the batting order. If this is the year, Los Angeles could be in for a rise, especially with promising young talents Jo Adell, Reid Detmers and Brandon Marsh expected to be regulars in 2022. While Cleveland missed the playoffs last year, they also have finished no lower than third in the AL Central since 2012. As for the Rays, the Wander Franco hype is real. There is some volatility in our projections for theBraves, who look like the favorite to win the NL East but finish as low as third place in the division standings. Drew Rasmussen threw 76 innings last year. As for the Cubs, neither system likes their postseason chances despite the signings of Swanson, Cody Bellinger, Jameson Taillon, Trey Mancini and Eric Hosmer. Here's what experts think. Way Too Early MLB 2022 National League Standings Predictions. The 2022 Major League Baseball season is almost here and Sportsnauts MLB predictions offer projections for the standings, award winners and more. PECOTA is much less bullish on the Giants, giving them a winning percentage below .500 and less than a 1% chance of winning the division. By no means do I think the Rockies are good, nor will they come close to playoff contention. Toronto's lineup starring Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Bo Bichette and Teoscar Hernandez is the best in the American League, and its offense will carry it through the season to one of the league's best records. We felt great about New Yorks rotation trio and even liked some of the depth behind it. It also highlights the risk of a starting rotation with so many durability worries. It was only the Cubs in 2016 and Cardinals in 2015, but the point stands. This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2022 MLB season. The odds of winning the pennant tell the story of just how locked down the field sees the 2022 playoff picture. Find the Pistons vs Cavaliers odds below. Patrick Wisdom and Frank Schwindel each had solid debut seasons in 2021, and return as established starters with Ian Happ and Willson Contreras. . Notably, ZiPS and PECOTA both project the Angels to be significantly better than the Rangers, whose moves have been much splashier than the Halos in the past two offseasons. Ultimately, this is a total rebuild and the organization isn't thinking about the final MLB standings in 2022. 5 min read. Brendan Rodgers and Ryan McMahon showed they can make a promising tandem fans of the franchise can build around. They've got a good young rotation led by Sandy Alcantara and are going to causeheadaches for the division's presumed contenders Juan Soto Extension Watch is going to be 2022's dominant storyline for the Nationals, who did sign 41-year-old DH Nelson Cruz. C'mon Rocks! Is the NL West a two- or three-team race? The Dodgers are currently favored to take it all. MLB is back, but will fans be after ugly offseason? Put yourself out there. Considering the randomness involved, predicting the yearly MLB saves leader might be as difficult as any stat in baseball. Instead, the model likes the chances ofthe Cardinalsto win the NL Central. With the last few days of build up comes all kinds of predictions, picks, best bets and the like. TeamRankings.com is solely responsible for this site but makes no guarantee about the accuracy or completeness of the information herein. The versatile Max Muncy will hit anywhere he's playing, and Justin Turner has shown no signs of aging as he heads into his age 36 season. As far as my place in all this, feel free to jump over to my SportsLine page to see my picking acumen from last season. But even with Seager gone, Turner shifted from second to shortstop and Gavin Lux and Chris Taylor will occupy second base. Now, the Red Sox also have Trevor Story, who should certainly enjoy teeing off the Green Monster. The two big prospects in the Trea Turner/Scherzer trade, Josiah Gray will slot into the rotation and Keibert Ruiz should become the everyday catcher. For anyone followingthe Reds, this has been a puzzling offseason. It will all come down to how many IL stints the Angels stars have in 2022. Alek Thomas should make his debut at some point in 2022 to join fellow young bats like Ketel Marte, Daulton Varsho and Carson Kelly. Just when everyone thoughtthe Rockiesmight be headed toward a rebuild, they go out and make a big splash by signing Kris Bryant. They could match that in 2022. The results of each simulation are tallied together to create the most likely outcomes of the divisions, playoffs and World Series. Because of a below-average lineup, on its best days, the Marlins exciting rotation will be wasted. Comprehensive Major League Baseball news, scores, standings, fantasy games, rumors, and more Watch out, Milwaukee is a darkhorse World Series threat. Welcome to our NHL projections and probabilities page where you will find each team's projected . MORE:Reds, As top list of five MLB fan bases experiencing post-lockout blues. Behind the Jays, it could go either way between the New York Yankees and Tampa Bay Rays. Sure, Opening Day was pushed back a week, but the MLB season is set to play a full 162 games, which was not a given earlier this winter. Theyll be better than the Pittsburgh Pirates, but at least we can say we like the outlook for Pittsburghs future. Philadelphia Phillies (82-80) The bullpen (7.06 ERA in '20) won . Not many expected the Braves to win their fourth World Series title at the beginning of the 2021 season.