WARNING: Long-range forecasts are rarely accurate. Temperatures: Below Average, Arizona IsArizonaa good place to visit in the winter? Check out some of our favorite places to go camping in Arizona for inspiration. The yearly total to date currently stands as the 7th driest year with one month left in 2022. I think we do a pretty good job, Geiger said. Winter could pound the Northeast with a vengeance starting in mid-December before potentially intensifying in January,. National Weather Service Even as we swelter through the last stretch of summer's "dog days," the upcoming winter outlooks for the 2022-2023 season from the Farmers' Almanac and The Old Farmer's Almanac are enough to send shivers down one's spine. On average, there are 1 rainy days in Arizona during January. April climate data across southeast Arizona. 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On average, the Tucson airport records two days with thunderstorms. Friday, April 08, 2022 Flagstaff Weather -- April 8, 2022 Student forecaster Julia Castro has the latest on the weekend weather in northern Arizona. No matter how you like your winter, youre sure to find it in Arizona. The 2022-2023 U.S. Winter Outlook map for precipitation shows wetter-than-average conditions are most likely in western Alaska, the Pacific Northwest, northern Rockies, Great Lakes and Ohio Valley. July climate data across southeast Arizona. Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, were mostly below a half an inch (0.50") with a localized spots, especially in the foothills, recording up to nine-tenths of an inch (0.90"). Yuck. 12News+ showcases live video throughout the day for breaking news, local news, weather and even an occasional moment of Zen showcasing breathtaking sights from across Arizona. As is usually the case during the summer thunderstorm season rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged widely from 3.00" to 9.00" with localized amounts between 9" and 11" along the lower elevations of the Catalina and Rincon mountains. By Paul Rusnak | September 11, 2022. The wather in Arizona in January can vary between cold and nice weather days. The Climate Prediction Center forecast for Fall 2022 called for a 46% chance of above normal temperatures and a 22% chance of below normal temperatures. Its the best time of year to visit if youre a fan of hiking, for example. It will definitely seem like it in January though, but we still have February, March, and April left, that of which can easily add more storms into the forecast. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded only 0.81" which is around a half an inch below normal and ranks as the 53rd driest September on record, tied with 1949. The forecast for precipitation is a 24% chance that they will be above normal and a 43% chance that they will end up below normal. La Nia conditions can have varying effects on weather patterns around the world. hit 113.9 degrees F, 45.5 degrees C. Amazing. The average yearly temperature of 60.6 is a half of a degree ABOVE normal and ranks as the 12th warmest on record, tied with 1996, through the end of April. Our outlook has the highest confidence of a cold February in the Northern Plains and upper Midwest. BOOKMARK THE MAIN WEBSITE BY CLICKING HERE. On the precipitation side, the forecast leaned toward below normal at a 45% chance. Click Here To Join The Season Tier, Join The Main Arizona Weather Force Facebook Group (50 percent delivery time) You can join the main AZWF page as well through that group. temperatures from Washington and northern . NWS Tucson Arizona520 North Park Ave, Suite 304Tucson, AZ 85719(520) 670-6526Comments? Winter, 2022. Snowfall will be below normal in most areas that normally receive snow, with the snowiest periods in early to mid-January and early February. The water year is well below normal since October 1st at 2.26" which ranks as the 9th driest water year to date with three months left in the water year calendar. Amounts ranged from 1.00" to 4.50" with localized amounts up to 6.50". We start off the new year here with the January 2022 forecast. Tell us your thoughts in the comments section below, then check out how beautiful the Grand Canyon in winter is. In long range forecast, Los Angeles is used as a base. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Above-normal precipitation is forecast in part of the Ohio Valley, an area that could pick up above-normal snowfall if temperatures remain low enough. Every one of them ended up being cooler than a year ago. Peter Geiger, the editor of the Farmers Almanac,said there wasnt much particularly interesting or new forecasted for the area this fall, with generally fair weather from September through October. The official start of fall is only about a month away, with the Autumn Equinox on Sept. 22. It is certainly a possibility with the threat of another La Nia on the horizon. Monsoon 2022 ended up warmer than normal with an average season temperature of 87.2 which is nine-tenths of a degree above normal. Normal rainfall for December 0.96". Climate Predictions 6-10 Days 8-14 Day Climate Probability Official 30-Day Forecast The above maps are from the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center. Essentially, the formula uses sunspot activity andthe effect the moon has on the earth to be able to predict weather about two years in advance. Support local journalism. You can go traditional with it and check out some truly delightful Christmas towns in Arizona, or you can rent a cabin in the woods and forget about life for a while as you watch snow gently fall. Odds are tilted toward a colder than average winter from the Northern Plains and Great Lakes to northern New England. Nine Ways To Tell The Difference. Some of our favorite winter destinations in Arizona include the adorable little town of Flagstaff, the amazing Mount Lemmon in southern Arizona (the drive up alone is incredible), and mountain towns like Payson and Prescott. CLIMAS_report_2022_final.pdf Southwest Climate Outlook October 2022 Weather Forecast Office. One record temperature was set during the month. Click on hotel for more details. Today, Katie writes for the Texas and Arizona pages of OnlyInYourState.com and has never been more passionate about a job before. Wildfires send smoke as temperatures near 100 degrees. With that being said, the colder than normal temperatures are already being felt in both regions. Two were for record highs and three were for record warm low temperatures and all of them occurred in December. There should be no reason you shouldnt be informed. KNXV According to the CPC, there is a 66% chance that. NWS Well, until it's August. Rain and snow are moving across our state as we ring in the new year. Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, were mostly below a third of an inch /0.33"/. The airport needs to record around 0.37" of rain during December to escape being ranked in the top 10 driest years on record. This cold front brought a cooler air mass with morning lows on the 25th being in the upper 30's to mid 40's. Over the next 10 days high temperatures gradually warmed through the 60's into the 70's peaking on the 27th with a monthly high temperature of 79. September climate data across southeast Arizona, Fall climate data across southeast Arizona, September records more triple digit high temperatures than August. Feb March 2023 . Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of 4.80" is just under two & a third inches below normal and ranks as the 19th driest January through August period on record. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, has recorded 5.61" is just under 3" below normal and ranks as the 13th driest January to September on record. In a couple of words: its nice! The temperatures in Arizona in January are quite cold with temperatures between 9C and 19C, warm clothes are a must. That is 100% free to view. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded just over a half an inch /0.53"/. The MAIN PAGE of this website has every alert/article issued at current. The state's smoky skies were caused by a wildfire in Arizona, but the National Weather service said Monday's smoke and heat will be gone Tuesday. Here are some of the monthly temperature highlights during 2022: A total of sixteen daily record temperatures were set or tied during 2022. Your California Privacy Rights / Privacy Policy. Los Angeles had near 9.50 of rainfall during the month alone with a normal amount of 2.48, which is unprecedented and will be the third highest amount during the month of December since records began, only behind 1989 and 2010. The high temperature of 82 on the 20th marked the first August since 2007 that recorded back-to-back days with highs in the 80's. The 1981-2010 climate normal period was used from the late 2011 to early 2021. Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged widely from 0.10" to 0.75 ". The forecast panned out well with Winter 2021-2022 coming in warmer and drier than normal. Southern Arizona is a mixed bag in the winter sometimes you can get a nice, mild winter or a chilly, snowy one! Our weather forecast can give you a great sense of what weather to expect in Arizona in January 2024. Questions? CLICK HERE TO GO, The following articles were talked about in this write-up, November 5, 2021 RELATED: Heat-related deaths hit historic high in 2021. In other words, it will be cold in the area. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, was on the dry side as just over one and a third of an inch /1.34"/ was recorded. ajgarrison - Flickr The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 35% chance that they will end up above normal and a 32% chance that they will end up below normal. In central Arizona, its mild and fair, and sometimes rainy. Severe thunderstorms hit portions on the metro area on the 21st and 26th. The average yearly temperature of 56.8 is six-tenths of a degree BELOW normal and ranks as the 27th warmest on record through the end of March. Then it smashed that record. Search. Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged widely across the metro area from 0.50" to 3" with localized totals up to 3.75". Looking ahead into February The Climate Prediction Center forecasts a 47% chance of above normal temperatures and a 45% chance of below normal precipitation. In December, the best chance of at least somewhat colder than usual temperatures is expected in the East, from the Great Lakes to the Northeast and mid-Atlantic states. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 35% chance that they will end up above normal and a 32% chance that they will end up below normal. Meanwhile, the southern U.S. is expected to have a warmer than usual winter. The best hidden gems and little known destinations - straight to your inbox. To troubleshoot, here is the link to get situated. Whether the polar vortex stays strong or weakens at some point in winter can definitely impact the forecast. video. Please try another search. Youll definitely want to check out some of our favorite winter towns in Arizona to get some ideas. Temperature extremes ranged from a high of 85 on December 1st to a low of 26 on February 3rd. The Winter seasonal forecast for the area, issued November 18th, called for a 41% chance of above normal temperatures & a 48% chance of below normal precipitation. January climate data across southeast Arizona. Weather wise, is January a good time to visit Arizona? Please select one of the following: Tucson, AZ Standard Radar (low bandwidth), NOAA NCEI State Climate Summary for Arizona, 2022, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Here was the tweet the office issued. 27, 2022 The posted Quail Forever forecast of a bird hatch in NM and AZ is pretty bleak with drought conditions continuing throughout the Southwest. Mostly cloudy. The monthly average temperature of 54.3 is almost two degrees below normal and ranks as the 59th warmest February on record. After a week of travel, a bout with a head cold, and a new A-fib diagnosis, hiked some beautiful country with the Britts. How do you feel about the upcoming milder, drier (especially drier than this last monsoon season, hoo boy) winter we might have? Dry conditions prevailed from the 11th to the 14th before an upper level low moved across the area bringing scattered showers, isolated thunderstorms and small hail on the 15th & 16th. Additionally, there were five record temperatures that were either set or tied. An statistical oddity occurred in 2022 in that not one daily rainfall record was set at the official recording site. That means that La Nina is NOT controlling the current weather pattern for the season thus far. Ninety-nine percent of the state is experiencing some level of drought with more than half of the state experiencing an Exceptional drought, which is the worst level. The yearly rainfall total of 6.14" at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, ranks as the 10th driest January through November period on record. According to its forecast map, Arizonas fall theme will be cool with decent precipitation.. The only significant difference between this winter's outlook and the outlook for 2020-21 is that the chance of above-normal temperature is about 5-10% less than it was last winter, likely the result of somewhat higher above-normal temperature thresholds due to the change in long-term averages described above. The bottom line, according to Crawford, is this eruption isn't expected to be a significant influence on this winter's weather. CLICK HERE TO LEARN MORE AND SIGN-UP Weather forecasts that start where the others stop. The second Pacific storm of the month moved across the area on the 12th bringing with it widespread valley rain and mountain snow. National Weather Service NWS Tucson Arizona 520 North Park Ave, Suite 304 Tucson, AZ 85719 (520) 670-6526 Comments? This update comes as Arizona sits deep in drought. For an oddity record, the eight days with a high of 99 is the most on record for the month of August & any calendar month dating back to 1895. The states climate is varied and unique, featuring many different biomes and environments. It begins just at the backend. Sorry, the location you searched for was not found. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 83 on the 14th to a low of 26 on the 3rd. The water year rainfall is at the half-way mark with a paltry 2.03" being recorded. The temperatures in Arizona in February are comfortable with low of 11 C and and high up to 21 C.. Therefore, we will likely see periods that are warmer or colder in each respective region of the country when compared to what is shown above. On average, there are 0 snowy days in Arizona in January. "We continue the remarkable drive toward a third consecutive La Nia winter, a relatively rare occurrence in our recorded history, with the last three-peat occurring from 1998-2000," said Dr. Todd Crawford, Vice President of Meteorology at Atmospheric G2. Not all risky days will have rain/snow. A first look at Winter 2022/2023 forecast shows an obvious influence of the third-year La Nina phase. February 08, 2021 : Atmospheric conditions and temperature F: RealFeel F: Atmospheric Published: Aug. 10, 2022 at 5:21 PM PDT (Gray News) - The Farmers' Almanac is predicting a frigid winter for most of us here in the U.S., along with brisk temperatures. The Spring seasonal forecast for the area, issued February 17th, called for a 46% chance of above normal temperatures & a 42% chance of below normal precipitation. How to get these alerts with a premium subscription via e-mail by micro-climate zone AND/OR Get the GPS models for all events on your device enabled? On your phone:Download the 12News app for the latest local breaking news straight to your phone. Here in the Valley, showers will be off and on throughout overnight. The average wind speed was 8.1 mph which is slightly below the average was 8.2 mph. The cooling of these waters can have an atmospheric domino effect that influences weather patterns across the globe. 3. Colder weather is predicted to come in between Nov. 16 and 19 and settle in for good come Nov. 24 to 27. Thanks to the new warmer 30-year climate normals, which went into effect last year, the average yearly temperature this year through the end of March is below normal although it was warmer than two years ago (56.8 vs 56.5). Hourly forecast for 08.02.2022. The monthly average temperature of 85.8 is 1.1 BELOW normal ranks as the 38th warmest August on record. Antarctic Winter of 2022 - Coldest on Record. The impacts from the cold plunge resulted in a multi-billion disaster, with Texas especially hard-hit. The atmosphere's response, which ultimately matters for our weather patterns, may resemble a winter without a La Nia. The average yearly temperature, through the end of May, of 64.4 is 0.9 above normal and ranks as the 10th warmest on record, tied with 2000. Apr. 3rd Coldest January- February on Record in 2021. Click Here To Join The Page Today. According to its forecast map, Arizona's fall theme will be cool with "decent precipitation." Peter Geiger, the editor of the Farmers' Almanac, said there wasn't much particularly interesting. With stories from American West, Western Washington State, King County (Wash.), Seattle, Pacific Northwest, Eastern Washington State, Sports, Washington State University, College Sports. Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of 0.48" is 1.20" BELOWnormal and ranks as the 17th driest January/February period on record. Click on the image to the right to see how 2022 compared to the historical record. November 2022 to October 2023 Winter will be warmer than normal, with above-normal precipitation. Our weather forecast can give you a great sense of what weather to expect in Arizona in February 2024.. There were five days that recorded freezing low temperatures at the airport which is up from the three that occurred in the previous winter but down five from the 1991-2020 normal period. Includes Daily Risk of Precipitation, High/Low/Average Temperatures, Heating/Cooling Degree Days and Growing Degree Days, Transition Day Start or End of a Risky Period. November climate data across southeast Arizona. Rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, varied widely across the metro area which is always the case during the summer thunderstorm season. Coming off one of the WETTEST years on record in 2021 where the airport recorded 15.19", the outlook called for enhanced probabilities for below normal rainfall through the Spring season then equal chances for below, near or above normal rainfall for the remainder of the year. Weather Forecast Legend WeatherTAB helps you plan activities on days with the least risk of rain. This month the airport recorded 9 days which is the highest amount dating back to 1948. All NOAA. Amounts ranged from 4" to 9" with localized higher amounts up to 14". The forecast for precipitation is a 33% chance that they will be above normal and a 33% chance that they will end up below normal. The forecast for precipitation is a 36% chance that they will be above normal and a 31% chance that they will end up below normal. WeatherTAB Flagstaff, Arizona Help C F. Click on the images below for larger view. Our Office; Monsoon; Monsoon Safety; SE Arizona drought page; . Questions? Temperature extremes for Fall ranged from a high of 103 on September 6th to a low of 36 on November 26th. So here is the breakdown If you want to fix your roof, this is the best month to do so just in-case feb/mar/apr become active again, Southern California The metro area for most of the month remained under a favorable monsoon flow pattern that brought daily round of showers and thunderstorms which produced strong gusty winds, heavy rain and flash flooding. These drought conditions developed after a drier-than-normal 2020 monsoon season and a dry 2020/2021 winter season. Winter is a great time to hike the Grand Canyon (just be careful of ice), and its also a fun time to go camping in the milder central and southern parts of the state. On social media:Find us on Facebook, Twitter, Instagram and YouTube. Please try another search. And I will say, it looks opposite of December 2021s with a different atmosphere and this is for both Southern California and Arizona Weather Force so read on for details after the first paragraph . The first month of 2023 might start out a little mild on the country's eastern half, but it's expected to be stormy and very, very cold by the middle and end of the month. However, January should at least be somewhat colder than usual from parts of Washington state and northern Idaho to the northern Plains, much of the Midwest and interior Northeast into northern New England. October climate data across southeast Arizona. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts a 47% chance of above normal temperatures and a 45% chance of below normal precipitation. Expect a few rainy days but usually not more than 3. Colder air and blocking weather pattern often develop when the polar vortex is weak. Scattered light showers and high elevation mountain snow occurred on the evening of the 23rd and the morning of the 24th were associated with a passing cold front. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 4.13" which ranks as the 52nd driest Summer on record. (Weather station: Payson, USA). The recently released NOAA U.S. Winter Outlook made the predictions Thursday, bringing the news that widespread extreme drought is expected to persist throughout the West. Get more stories delivered right to your email. However, if it does rain/snow during the month, expect most of it to occur on higher risk days. According to the Farmers' Almanac (in publication since 1818), states in . With record to near-record heat blistering Colorado on Monday, you might think the smoke in the air is from a Colorado wildfire. Our forecasts are not direct predictions of rain/snow. According to the Farmers Almanac winter weather forecast for Arizona, the 2022-2023 winter season will be a milder affair this year though drier than average, too. In a couple of words: its nice! According to the CPC, there is a tendency for back-to-back La Nia winters which increases forecaster confidence in the probability that this coming winter will indeed be another La Nia winter. The best chance of a colder-than-average January will be in northern Minnesota. If youre planning to visit Arizona in the near future, we highly recommend that you review the 14 day weather forecast for Arizona before you arrive. Fall was dry with above normal rainfall returning to the area during December. It will modify the jet stream pattern over North America and the Pacific Ocean, extending its reach to the rest of the world. When Does It End? As we mentioned above, one of the best things to do in Arizona in the winter is camping and/or hiking, but of course, there are more! The states climate is varied and unique, featuring many different biomes and environments. PHOENIX (3TV/CBS 5) Look for one last, mostly sunny day before an unsettled weather pattern arrives for the next few days in Arizona.Light winds and high clouds can be expected this morning . PHOENIX It's a wet start to 2022 across Arizona! A high minimum temperature of 75 on the 27th set a new daily record, eclipsing the old record of 73 from 1963 & 1989. The average temperature in Arizona in January is. Get the latest articles, videos, and news about Washington State on Flipboard. 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec December Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun 1 +68 +59 2 +68 +55 3 +61 +59 4 +64 +61 5 +66 +55 6 +66 +52 7 +64 Additionally the airport monthly total extended the streak of below normal rainfall for March to "18" straight. Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of 0.67" is 1.81" BELOW normal & ranks as the 9th driest January through April period on record. May climate data across southeast Arizona. Kristin Murphy, Deseret News Flannel, hot chocolate and snowshoes are in the winter forecast from the Farmers' Almanac, which is predicting a shivery 2022-2023 winter for most of the United States. The last year in which Tucson waited until April to set/tied a record temperature was back in 2010. READ MORE Monday, March 28, 2022 Flagstaff Weather -- March 28, 2022 Precipitation: Equal chances use the map provided below. Youll definitely want to check out some of our favorite, We say absolutely! As usual, the polar vortex is another important wild card in the outlook. Above normal moisture values for early October combined with several atmospheric disturbances moving across the area produced isolated to scattered showers or thunderstorms on a daily basis during the first ten days of the month.
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