Missing an effective third pitch. Slider is his main secondary with plus spin to the tune of 2800+. 6'3" and 190 pounds indicates that there is room to add good muscle to his frame and tick his velocity up from low 90s to mid 90s. Wes Kath - 3B (White Sox, 1st Base and Auto, 57/33) - The White Sox second-round pick out of the Arizona prep ranks was a shortstop in high school but has pushed out to third base in his first pass through pro ball. If he can go from high teens home run power to high twenties home run power, he starts to get more interesting for Tier 2 consideration. Lonnie White Jr. - OF (Pirates, 1st Base and Auto, 64/35) - Along with Chandler, the Pirates used their underslot choice of Henry Davis at 1-1 to steal away a big time football commit with White, a potential star wide receiver headed to Penn State. - Chrome Die-Cut Refractor Parallel - Die-Cut X-Fractor Parallel #'d to 99 Hobby Only - Die-Cut . I like his compact swing and how he can get it to through the zone for plus pull-side power. That puts me in a conundrum of whether to bump CES up to Tier 2 based on performance or Tier 3 based on tools. These include autographed cards for guys like Julio Rodriguez, Spencer Torkelson, Marco Luciano, Jasson Dominguez, Luis Rodriguez, Blaze Jordan, and Yoelqui Cespedes. Also will throw a curveball and slider to varying degrees of success - from what I saw, I liked the look of his curveball, so there is definitely something there. However, a groundball rate above 50% and what appears to be an average hit tool at the moment along with the risk of having to potentially slide him over to third base drags down the previously mentioned positives. A mid-rotation starter with a low to mid 90's fastball that has big time arm-side run. Like Rutschman, Torkelson was also a number 1 draft pick. His main secondary that I saw him throwing was a curveball followed by a tight slider. He also has 70-grade bat flip skills (if you know, you know). Mostly leans on a plus low to mid 90's fastball with arm-side run and rise coupled with a plus sweeping slider. Still some question marks if he can turn the prep offensive skills into pro ones, but definitely has the all around talent to make it to the show. All in all, a prep catcher that will stick behind the dish with solid but not spectacular hit and power and a plus plate approach is going to be on the borderline of Tier 3 and Tier None. A back-end starter with a history of arm injuries is an easy Tier None decision until we see his return to the mound. This will include autos from the Black and White RayWave subset, a 1/1 offering. Changeup is his third offering, but is inconsistent and I didn't see him throw it much. Average to above average tools across the board but no standout carrying tool. Micah Ottenbreit - RHP (Phillies, 1st Base and Auto, 114/155) - Lanky prep right-hander standing 6'4" that looks like a back-end starter that will need a lot of development work to get there. Denzel Clarke - OF (Athletics, 1st Base only, 127/139) - When I threw on the video of Sam Bachman facing the A's during fall instructs, I had not yet starting looking into Denzel Clarke. His Bowman cards only list him as a pitcher as well. Being a right handed bat, that creates short side platoon concerns. Ended up going in the 4th round to the White Sox on an underslot deal after an up and down final college season including a month of downtime mid-season. His fastball sits mid-90s but will lose velocity pretty quickly during his outings. Changeup wasn't great and he has trouble commanding it in the looks I had. Retail formats are never really announced, but Topps has not done retail for Bowman Draft in recent memory, if ever. A typical catcher's frame at 5'11" and 210 pounds, it's not a slam dunk but he should be able to stick behind the plate. When it comes to prospect products, the 1st Bowman logo is all that and then some. Trying not to be too optimistic here, but I am going to go out on a limb and I am guessing not many others will be on it with me and put Viars in Tier 2. Given his frame, I would be surprised if he sticks at first base - he has DH written all over him and the Dan Vogelbach/Rowdy Tellez comps are likely going to be a regular occurrence. He's an easy Tier None call for the moment but someone to keep an eye on because the raw stuff is there to become a lot more. An easy Tier 2 call for me given the power potential, but the hit tool will drive whether he should have been a Tier 1 call or not. He's got an inverted front leg batting stance that just looks uncomfortable and I wonder over time if that has to be adjusted simply due to the wear and tear on catcher's knees and ankles. They have some company, though, in the form of several "prospects" like Wander Franco,. Will regularly throw all three of his secondaries with the slider and curveball being above average to plus offerings. Jordan Lawlar - SS (Diamondbacks, 1st Base and Auto, 6/2) - The 6th overall pick in the draft had been at play for the top overall pick for quite some time. Add in two to three of these guys and we start to get closer to previous years - Jack Leiter, Khalil Watson, Colson Montgomery, Joshua Baez, Max Muncy, Matt McLain, and Trey Sweeney would all be welcome additions. Most evaluators believe he doesn't stick behind the plate as his receiving skills are not up to par but he does have the arm strength to gun down runners. I saw him struggle a lot with pitches up in the zone. Tier 2 - Bats that may lack in a certain area such as top-end power, three true outcomes players, maybe great real life/fantasy players, but not hobby-elite, or tantalizing raw talents. Marcelo Mayer - SS (Red Sox, 1st Base and Auto, 4/1) - The 4th overall pick in the draft, that spot was likely the floor for him as he was a popular pick for the top overall pick in many mock drafts. The Invicta insert is another new one that tries to portray a high-end, classy feel, but looks boring and is a miss for me. The right side of the plate was more promising as he seemed to have a more natural, hit over power swing. You will see the players overall drafted position and then their ranking in our Top 600 MLB Draft Prospects - so for Marcelo Mayer, this will be 4/1. His low to mid-90's fastball is average but he can command it up in the zone nicely and it pairs well with his sweeping slurve style plus breaking ball. Athletic and prototypical starting pitcher size at 6'4" and 245 pounds, he was a 3-star quarterback recruit coming out of high school. Sam Bachman - RHP (Angels, 1st Base and Auto, 9/18) - Angels 1st round right-hander out of Miami of Ohio popped big time in 2021 pushing all the way up to 9th overall in the draft. Dustin Saenz - LHP (Nationals, 1st Base only, 112/103) - The National's fourth-round pick out of Texas A&M didn't get drafted in the COVID-shortened 2020 draft. Bowman Update Sets: Draft Picks & Prospects: 2000 - 2001 . The only item in that stew that is missing is the power, and there are some hints that it will come. Evaluating The Best Prospects In 2021 Bowman Chrome Prospect rankings are based on scouting grades and narrative reports for each player. The 2020 first round pick (28th overall), Wells is a stocky left handed hitter at 6'2" 228 lbs who employs a short stroke that helped him slash .264/.390/.476 in 2021. Has a plus fastball in the mid-90s and a double plus slider with elite spin rates that was the best slider in the draft and in contention for best pitch period in all of the draft. The situation is this: the 2021 Bowman's Best Baseball base set has its usual mix of veterans and rookies. Seemed easy for hitters to pick up and put the bat on the ball, even if it wasn't always successful. Prototype size at 6'4" 230-ish pounds. That being said, even with a ceiling of a lights out closer, it's hard to put someone with a single pitch bullpen profile as anything but Tier None. Frank Mozzicato - LHP (Royals, 1st Base and Auto, 7/49) - The biggest surprise in the top ten overall picks and perhaps the entire first round was the Royals taking Mozzicato at 7th overall. Not a lot of video available, but what I did see was promising with a short and quick lofted power swing. This one is likely a slow burn as he fills out and gets shaped by MLB dev staff. The standard Franchise Futures multi-player insert is included and is getting more and more tired every year. Given his small sample size Complex league showing not being the best with a 34 K%, I am going to hold off on a Tier 1 ranking. I am taking the upside play here with Allen and placing him in my Tier 2 group. Will also throw an average changeup now that he's starting that shows nice arm-side fade when it's on. Tyler Black - 2B/3B (Brewers, 1st Base and Auto, 33/67) - A standout at Wichita State due to the plus hit tool scuffled a bit in his small sample size debut in pro ball. Fills up the zone and gets a lot of strikeouts. I have not seen prices posted anywhere for this, but it is probably between the Lite and Jumbo cost - perhaps in the $200 range if I had to guess. Lite Hobby box - no guaranteed hit, but guaranteed 5 Lite-exclusive Black & White RayWave refractor parallels and is roughly $150 pre-sale per box. Tier None - The likelihood of widespread short-term hobby interest, and most likely long-term as well, is close to none. With the inherent risk of prep righty profiles, he goes into the bucket of similar profiles in Tier None with a firm "watch list" designation. No current bullpen risk as the expectation is that he'll be able to stick as a starting pitcher. With more comfort throwing his changeup regularly and improved command and control, Petty could step up into the SP1 conversation. Dual Draftees: Dual cards featuring top 2013 draft picks from the same franchise. He put up 9 home runs in his eye-popping final season at Oregon and had double plus max exit velocity in his early pro ball run. Plus mechanics from a 3/4 slot that is fluid and repeatable. He starts with an open-face stance and seemed to really sell out for power with a very unbalanced finish. T.J. White - 1B/OF (Nationals, 1st Base and Auto, 143/399) - The South Carolina prep outfielder has a nice athletic frame with a muscular lower half that generates plus power but plenty of swing and miss. Easy Tier 1 player for me, but I will put him below Mayer in this tier since we didn't get to see Lawlar and he now has shoulder surgery plus the associated rehab and recovery that will slow down his timeline. Struggled against elite competition. 2021 Bowman Draft Marcelo Mayer . He has a low to mid 90's fastball and reportedly can reach back for more and pairs that with average-ish sliders and changeups. With some velo uptick, I could see McDermott cementing his role as a backend SP, but probably not much more than a mid-rotation SP at best, which keeps him in Tier None for now and possibly a Tier 3 guy at peak. . The 19-year-old has quickly . Look for 1 autograph per box! His command needs a fair amount of work, but he lived all around the edges of the zone even when he was missing which is promising. Seemed like the biggest challenge with Panzini is the command of his secondaries, and even his fastball in some of the Circuit tape I watched. Prep catcher penalty plus hit tool concerns leads me to placing Moller in the middle of Tier 3. There are two new parallels exclusive to Bowman Draft this year. Lefty bat that can hit as well as push it over the fence that finished in the top 15 of the RoboScout ranks for the Complex level. Nice contact skills where he is comfortable putting the ball in play all over the field with his power tending towards the pull side. Spencer Schwellenbach - RHP (Braves, 1st Base and Auto, 59/56) - The two-way player at Nebraska finally got back to pitching in his final season in college, albeit all out of the bullpen, following arm surgery after high school. Add to Wishlist Release Date: 4/28/21 UPC: 887521097494 FREE Shipping Available* He continued to pad his career stats in 2021 hitting .260, with a .234 ISOP, and a 28.3% K rate as a 21-year-old in Triple-A. Doesn't have a slam dunk home on the infield, but should be able to play both second and third base as well as shortstop in a pinch. Tommy Mace - RHP (Guardians, 1st Base and Auto, 69/42) - You take a look at Tommy Mace getting off the bus and you think "this is a big league starter". Rating: 7.7 (3 votes) Click here to Rate. The third-rounder out of NC State has a good floor but not really a high ceiling with the most likely outcome of a utility player that can play a majority of the positions on the diamond. Slider is his most effective secondary pitch with some nice sweeping break to it at times while his changeup has a ways to go. Very athletic at 6'2" 190 with room to fill out. With full run, he could hit for a good average, get 20 home runs, and steal 20 bases. The biggest drawback is that he may not get to more than 15-ish home runs. When there are more than three or four guys to chase in a product, collectors tend to be relatively happy. Potential for a good player as a table setter or bottom of the order bat, but there's better than an outside chance that he settles into pro ball and justifies a Tier 3 ranking in the future. Stats. Hit tool may only be above average at peak depending on how much he focuses on power over hit. Ty Madden - RHP (Tigers, 1st Base only, 32/13) - The Tigers Comp A pick out of the University of Texas has the prototypical starting pitcher frame featuring a plus slider and an above-average fastball that he runs up into the high 90s. Inconsistency with his command and control and missing a third pitch are going to be his main developmental needs. Ryan Holgate - OF (Cardinals, 1st Base and Auto, 70/76) - Ryan Holgate's home runs are majestic and the only question is really how much we will see of them. Julio Rodriguez 2019 Bowman Draft . The Cleveland pitching machine does give me pause and make me consider putting him up to Tier 3, but ultimately it feels like a floor of a backend starter with not much more of a ceiling than that. Low to mid 90s fastball that reportedly has started to top out in the upper 90s with a changeup, slider, and curveball that he throws with varying degrees of success for his secondaries. With that in mind, I am somewhat discounting the prep catcher penalty. Another watchlist guy to see if that patience and power materialize to push him out of Tier None. A lefty prep shortstop out of Maryland, he has that classic left-handed swing geared for the lower quadrant of the zone. Average low to mid 90's fastball that serve to setup above average to plus slider and changeup. That's a typical Tier None player. Total Cards: 150 Rating: 8.0 (2 votes) Click here to Rate He doesn't look to be swinging with any sort of authority with a swing more line drive-oriented than power producing. He's fleeter afoot than the typical catcher, as evidenced in his 16/16 season in 103 games across two levels. 2021 Top 600 2022 Top 600 Prospect Lists. JT Schwartz - 1B (Mets, 1st Base only, 111/232) - Mets 4th round first baseman out of UCLA was a sought after prep but stuck with his college commitment. In summary, a ton of the raw ingredients you would visualize as a future top end of the rotation starter but with a ton of risk. The Cardinals 2nd round pick has 40 home run power with double plus max velo but the concern is he will only get the bat to the ball enough to get to 20 of those. Top prospect Mayer draws parallels to former Red Sox star. Guessing that was more to keep him in the program and doing something as he wasn't going to put any more innings on his arm, like almost every other prep arm from the draft. His curveball is his best secondary and a swing and miss pitch. Mostly average tools on the offensive side of the equation. At 6'5", he's going to have to learn how to defend the zone against pitchers that will take advantage of his size. Potential for being perennial All-Stars and award winners. Free shipping for many products! Zane Mills - RHP (Cardinals, 1st Auto only, 120/286) - Mills is a back-end starter profile that doesn't have any real plus pitches but has plus command. Benny Montgomery - OF (Rockies, 1st Base and Auto, 8/20) - Montgomery is that rare player where the sky is the limit, and the only thing limiting that will be his hit tool. But without the all-important strikeout upside that would get the hobby on the bandwagon, he will be at the top half of Tier 3. Will take a walk as exhibited by the almost identical walks to strikeouts in the Complex this year. A floor of high leverage relief to a ceiling of a two double plus pitches SP2/SP3 is enticing to slide into the bottom of Tier 2, but I will try and contain my exuberance for what I saw and put him at the top half of Tier 3. Lacking the pedigree and huge upside, TJ pitchers are almost always going to end up in Tier None which is where I am putting Webb. But this isnt your Bowman Draft that you might be used to. . Unfortunately, that's why he is going to end up in Tier 2 as opposed to Tier 1, as much as I believe in how good Frelick will be with plenty of all-star games in his future. If he can develop the other secondaries and improve the command, he ends up at the back end of the rotation. His best secondary is a slider, which is where he does get the swing and miss and it plays well off of his steady diet of upper quadrant fastballs. A solid all around player that has the tools to stick at shortstop.
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